Apexhone 想透徹

Apexhone · Think it through

Before the decision that matters,
think it through.

A pocket decision consultant. Apply the same frameworks Bezos, Munger, and Kahneman have used in the field — work through structured questions and sharpen your judgment.

How it works

01

Name the decision

In a few sentences, capture what you are facing — the situation, the constraints, the options.

02

Pick a framework

Choose one decision framework from management, psychology, or finance — and work through its structured questions.

03

Come back and verify

Set a reminder. A few months later, log what actually happened. See your judgment improve, and your blind spots show up.

Free framework library

10 core thinking frameworks

Management & Thinking

Pre-mortem

Gary Klein

Stress-testing a plan before committing — finding failure paths you haven't seen yet

Management & Thinking

Regret Minimization Framework

Jeff Bezos

Major life decisions, career changes, irreversible choices — especially useful when present emotions cloud judgment

Management & Thinking

10 / 10 / 10 Rule

Suzy Welch

Emotionally charged in-the-moment decisions — reveals the gap between short-term feelings and long-term consequences

Management & Thinking

Second-Order Thinking

Howard Marks / Charlie Munger

Complex decisions with cascading effects, strategic choices, any "obvious" decision — because first-order outcomes everyone sees are often already priced in

Psychology & Behavior

Cognitive Bias Checklist

Kahneman, Ariely, Thaler

Pre-flight check before any important decision — scan for five high-frequency biases before you commit

Psychology & Behavior

Inside View vs Outside View

Daniel Kahneman / Amos Tversky

Planning and forecasting — especially when you're overly optimistic about your own project, goals, or capabilities

Psychology & Behavior

Base Rate Forecasting

Philip Tetlock / Daniel Kahneman

Decisions requiring outcome forecasts — from startup success rates to investment returns, start by asking "how does this type of thing typically go"

Investment & Finance

Expected Value Analysis

統計學 / 賭博理論 / 投資分析

Decisions with quantifiable outcomes — investments, business decisions, choices with probability and payoff structures

Investment & Finance

Opportunity Cost Framework

經典經濟學

Resource allocation decisions — how to deploy time, money, attention; especially when you're treating "do nothing" as a free option

Investment & Finance

Margin of Safety Thinking

Benjamin Graham / Warren Buffett

Any decision resting on critical assumptions — investments, ventures, major commitments — ensuring you survive when assumptions prove wrong

Ready to think your next decision through?

Pick a framework. Five minutes. Take it apart.

Start →